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Global Forecast of Long-Acting PrEP Need for Key Populations (2025–2030)

1 September 2025

Developed by AVAC, Avenir, and Global Black Gay Men Connect, this first-of-its-kind forecast estimates:

  • 11.16 million person-years of PrEP needed annually by 2030 among men who have sex with men, transgender women, female sex workers, and people who inject drugs
  • Uptake scenarios for cabotegravir, lenacapavir, and oral monthly PrEP
  • Forecasts segmented by region, population group, and product

Use it to guide: Procurement planning, donor alignment, and national scale-up targets.

Click here to access the full Excel workbook with detailed forecast figures by country, population, and PrEP method.

Topic(s): Research

Product(s): Cabotegravir, Lenacapavir, MK-8527

Population(s): Gay and Bisexual Men Who Have Sex With Men, Nonbinary People, People Who Use Drugs, Sex Workers, Trans Men, Trans Women

Format(s): Report

Source(s): GBGMC

Type: External Link

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